Odds
Player analysis
E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.1 to 20.0, with at least one match where E. Alexandrova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
L. Noskova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.3 with a downward trend. L. Noskova is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Noskova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 14 Apr | Knutson | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 9 Apr | Pliskova | 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Cristian | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | L |
| 20 Mar | Tagger | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 6 Mar | Gibson | 3-6 5-7 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 15 Apr | Zhang | 7-5 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 11 Apr | Bencic | 3-6 6-3 6-7 | W |
| 10 Apr | Golubic | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Cirstea | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 | L |

