Odds
Player analysis
E. Butvilas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.2 to 31.8, with at least one match where E. Butvilas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Butvilas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Butvilas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
M. Alkaya has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.9 with a downward trend. M. Alkaya is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Alkaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+25) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 12 Apr | Kuzmanov | 6-1 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Apr | Schwaerzler | 6-7 6-3 3-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Jover | 3-6 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 5 Apr | Gulin | 6-2 6-0 | W |
| 1 Apr | Royer | 6-3 7-5 | L |

