US OpenHardFinal6 Sep 2025 · 22:20
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
A. Anisimova
#6 · USA
SABALENKA
1.59
·
ANISIMOVA
2.53

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Anisimova
Winner
1.59
2.53

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

A. Anisimova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.0 to 43.2, with at least one match where A. Anisimova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Anisimova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Anisimova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS 8.13Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

11 MarMboko6-4 6-1L
9 MarRaducanu1-6 1-6W
7 MarBlinkova7-5 1-6 0-6W
20 FebPegula1-6 6-4 6-3L
19 FebAndreeva6-2 5-7 6-7W
Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

15 MarSabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6L
14 MarSabalenka6-3 6-4L
12 MarSabalenka7-6 6-4L
10 MarSabalenka6-2 6-4L
8 MarSabalenka6-4 6-1L

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Anisimova
72.8%
Win rate
63.7%
302–113
W–L
130–74

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4

Head to head

54
Indoor 10
Hard 21
Grass 01
Clay 22
A. Sabalenka vs A. Anisimova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Finals - RiyadhIndoorSemi-finalsSabalenka6-3 3-6 6-3
US OpenHardFinalSabalenka6-3 7-6
WimbledonGrassSemi-finalsAnisimova4-6 6-4 4-6
French OpenClay1/8-finalsSabalenka7-5 6-3
WTA TorontoHardQuarter-finalsAnisimova6-4 6-2
WTA Australian OpenHard1/8-finalsSabalenka3-6 2-6
RomeClayQuarter-finalsSabalenka4-6 6-3 6-2
MadridClay1/32-finalsAnisimova6-2 3-6 6-4
CharlestonClay1/8-finalsAnisimova6-3 4-6 3-6