Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
A. Anisimova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.0 to 43.2, with at least one match where A. Anisimova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Anisimova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Anisimova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Mar | Mboko | 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 9 Mar | Raducanu | 1-6 1-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Blinkova | 7-5 1-6 0-6 | W |
| 20 Feb | Pegula | 1-6 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 19 Feb | Andreeva | 6-2 5-7 6-7 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | |
| US Open | Hard | Final | Sabalenka | 6-3 7-6 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | Semi-finals | Anisimova | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | |
| French Open | Clay | 1/8-finals | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-3 | |
| WTA Toronto | Hard | Quarter-finals | Anisimova | 6-4 6-2 | |
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | 1/8-finals | Sabalenka | 3-6 2-6 | |
| Rome | Clay | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | |
| Madrid | Clay | 1/32-finals | Anisimova | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | |
| Charleston | Clay | 1/8-finals | Anisimova | 6-3 4-6 3-6 |

