F. Arnaboldi shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 402. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +11.6 (range: -0.9 to 20.4). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Arnaboldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

L. Castagnola comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.6, meaning L. Castagnola has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving L. Castagnola vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.