J. Fearnley comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning J. Fearnley has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Fearnley vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fearnley has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

L. van Assche has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 19.6, with at least one match where L. van Assche was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. van Assche vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.