Odds
Player analysis
R. Collignon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.1 to 11.4, with at least one match where R. Collignon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Collignon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Collignon has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 9.7, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Paul | 6-2 3-6 7-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Cobolli | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 19 Mar | Dimitrov | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Bellucci | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 12 Mar | Assche | 5-7 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Atmane | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fucsovics | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 10 Mar | Fils | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Monfils | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |

