Odds
Player analysis
D. Dzumhur has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning D. Dzumhur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Dzumhur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Dzumhur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -39 over recent matches.
F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 9.7, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Apr | Blockx | 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Kjaer | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 3 Apr | Zandschulp | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Borges | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Jianu | 6-3 4-6 7-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Atmane | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fucsovics | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 10 Mar | Fils | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Monfils | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |

