Odds
Player analysis
B. Shelton comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning B. Shelton has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (7.1/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Shelton has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -36 over recent matches.
F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 9.7, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Tirante | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 2 Apr | Zhang | 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Shevchenko | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Tien | 6-7 6-4 3-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Opelka | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Atmane | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fucsovics | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 10 Mar | Fils | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Monfils | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |

