Odds
Player analysis
F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 21.5, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Auger-Aliassime has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-31 opposition. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 12 Apr | Alcaraz | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 11 Apr | Zverev | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 10 Apr | Sinner | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 Apr | Machac | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Humbert | 3-6 0-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 10 Apr | Auger-Aliassime | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 8 Apr | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 23 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 7-5 | L |
| 10 Mar | Fils | 6-3 7-6 | L |
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Carlo | Clay | ATP Quarter-finals | Sinner | 3-6 4-6 | |
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Sinner | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Paris | Indoor | Final | Sinner | 4-6 6-7 | |
| US Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Sinner | 6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | Quarter-finals | Sinner | 6-0 6-2 | |
| Cincinnati | Hard | 1/8-finals | Auger-Aliassime | 2-6 7-6 6-1 | |
| Madrid | Clay | 1/8-finals | Auger-Aliassime | 6-1 6-2 |