F. Roncadelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.2 to 31.8, with at least one match where F. Roncadelli was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Roncadelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

A. Barrena comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.2 with a downward trend. A. Barrena is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Barrena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.