A. Paulson has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -25.8 to 35.7, with at least one match where A. Paulson was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Paulson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

J. Berrettini comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -16.4, meaning J. Berrettini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.8/10, leaving J. Berrettini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Berrettini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -42 over recent matches.