MiamiHardWTA Semi-finals16 Mar 2026 · 15:15
K. Birrell
#82 · Australia
VS
V. Tomova
#156 · Bulgaria
BIRRELL
1.27
·
TOMOVA
3.94

Odds

Market
Birrell
Tomova
Winner
1.27
3.94
Total
line 16.5
1.18
Over 16.5
4.74
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.24
Over 17.0
3.34
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
5.9
-8.0 games
1.09
+8 games
Handicap
games
3.94
-7.5 games
1.2
+7.5 games

Player analysis

K. Birrell comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.1 to 10.2, with at least one match where K. Birrell was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving K. Birrell vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.13Trend up

V. Tomova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.6, meaning V. Tomova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving V. Tomova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — V. Tomova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS -6.64Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Birrell
Stat
Tomova
56.5%
Win rate
48%
156–120
W–L
134–145

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults4