MiamiHardATP Semi-finals16 Mar 2026 · 19:10
A. Bolt
#154 · Australia
VS
S. Shimabukuro
#112 · Japan
BOLT
2.76
·
SHIMABUKURO
1.48

Odds

Market
Bolt
Shimabukuro
Winner
2.76
1.48
Total
line 20.0
1.28
Over 20.0
3.08
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.39
Over 20.5
2.59
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.11
-2.0 games
1.63
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.96
-2.5 games
1.74
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Bolt has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.9, meaning A. Bolt has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Bolt vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.95Trend down

S. Shimabukuro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.0, meaning S. Shimabukuro has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Shimabukuro has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS -8.04Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Bolt
Stat
Shimabukuro
56.8%
Win rate
58.8%
234–178
W–L
163–114

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

02
Hard 01
Clay 01
A. Bolt vs S. Shimabukuro head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
GuangzhouHard1/16-finalsShimabukuro6-3 4-6 1-6
Tunis Challenger MenClaySemi-finalsShimabukuro6-3 6-1