Odds
Player analysis
A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.6 to 10.9, with at least one match where A. Bublik was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
T. A. Tirante has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.2 with a downward trend. T. A. Tirante is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. A. Tirante vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+53) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 20 Mar | Berrettini | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Hijikata | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Kopriva | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 25 Feb | Griekspoor | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Struff | 3-6 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 4 Apr | Burruchaga | 1-6 1-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Shelton | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 1 Apr | McDonald | 6-2 6-0 | W |
| 31 Mar | Smith | 0-6 3-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-4 6-2 | L |

