MadridClay1/32-finals25 Apr 2026 · 11:00
A. Bublik
#11 · Kazakhstan
VS
S. Tsitsipas
#80 · Greece
BUBLIK
1.69
·
TSITSIPAS
2.28

Odds

Market
Bublik
Tsitsipas
Change
Winner
1.69
2.28
Total
line 20.0
1.25
Over 20.0
3.34
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.3
Over 20.5
2.97
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
5.51
-5.5 games
1.1
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
5.02
-5.0 games
1.12
+5 games

Player analysis

A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.6, meaning A. Bublik has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Bublik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Bublik has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS -4.6Trend down

S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning S. Tsitsipas has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Tsitsipas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -7.14Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Bublik
Stat
Tsitsipas
50.9%
Win rate
75.4%
54–52
W–L
187–61

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults2