Odds
Player analysis
F. Coria comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning F. Coria has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving F. Coria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
G. Bueno shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 405. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.3 to 17.1, with at least one match where G. Bueno was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving G. Bueno vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+36) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 14 Apr | Rodriguez | 1-6 6-4 3-6 | W |
| 10 Feb | Berrettini | 5-7 5-7 | L |
| 7 Aug | Schwaerzler | 7-6 6-1 Ret. | L |
| 5 Aug | Cecchinato | 4-6 2-6 Ret. | W |
| 30 Jul | Michalski | 5-7 6-1 4-6 Ret. | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 14 Apr | Villanueva | 4-6 7-5 4-6 | W |
| 12 Apr | Heide | 2-6 5-7 | L |
| 11 Apr | Midon | 5-7 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Casanova | 3-6 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 9 Apr | Ratti | 6-2 6-2 | W |

