Odds
Player analysis
I. Buse comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning I. Buse has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving I. Buse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
F. Roncadelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.1 with a downward trend. F. Roncadelli is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Roncadelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 4 Apr | Goffin | 6-2 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 2 Apr | Carabelli | 3-6 6-3 5-7 | L |
| 31 Mar | Berrettini | 7-6 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 19 Mar | Dzumhur | 7-6 6-7 1-6 | L |
| 17 Mar | Wong | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Cadenasso | 6-7 0-6 | L |
| 22 Mar | Varillas | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Silva | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 20 Mar | Vallejo | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Alboran | 4-6 3-6 | L |

