Odds
Player analysis
S. Fomin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -38.3 to 36.7, with at least one match where S. Fomin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving S. Fomin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Fomin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
H. S. Callejon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. S. Callejon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Feb | Callejon | 6-7 1-6 | L |
| 8 Feb | Peliwo | 6-1 6-1 | W |
| 3 Feb | Travaglia | 3-6 0-6 | L |
| 27 Jan | Kuzmanov | 1-6 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 26 Jan | Baldisserri | 1-6 2-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 10 Feb | Maestrelli | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 9 Feb | Fomin | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 8 Feb | Fonio | 6-1 6-0 | W |
| 3 Feb | Tiffon | 3-6 1-6 | L |
| 26 Nov | Efstathiou | 2-6 6-3 3-6 | W |

