MadridClay1/64-finals22 Apr 2026 · 11:00
C. Ugo Carabelli
#57 · Argentina
VS
G. Monfils
#200 · France
CARABELLI
1.68
·
MONFILS
2.3

Odds

Market
Carabelli
Monfils
Change
Winner
1.68
2.3
Total
line 19.5
1.28
Over 19.5
3.08
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.33
Over 20.0
2.88
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
4.77
-5.5 games
1.13
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
4.37
-5.0 games
1.16
+5 games

Player analysis

C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.7, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Ugo Carabelli has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -3.71Trend up

G. Monfils comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning G. Monfils has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving G. Monfils vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.49Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Carabelli
Stat
Monfils
64.5%
Win rate
58.2%
231–127
W–L
145–104

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults3