Odds
Player analysis
C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.7, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Ugo Carabelli has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
G. Monfils comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning G. Monfils has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving G. Monfils vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 15 Apr | Jodar | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 14 Apr | Khachanov | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jodar | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 3 Apr | Assche | 0-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 2 Apr | Buse | 3-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Apr | Bublik | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 5 Apr | Griekspoor | 6-7 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 7 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Galarneau | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 26 Feb | Vacherot | 6-3 6-3 | L |

