Odds
Player analysis
L. Castelnuovo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.6 to 21.4, with at least one match where L. Castelnuovo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving L. Castelnuovo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
S. Rawat comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.5, meaning S. Rawat has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving S. Rawat vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Rawat has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Feb | D | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Aggarwal | 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 13 Feb | Kasnikowski | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 12 Feb | Crawford | 1-6 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 10 Feb | M. | 4-6 0-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 22 Feb | Kumasaka | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Vanshelboim | 7-5 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 12 Feb | Kasnikowski | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Noguchi | 6-2 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 5 Jan | Gautier | 6-4 6-4 | L |

