JinanHardFinal12 Oct 2025 · 10:10
A. Cazaux
#73 · France
VS
M. McDonald
#125 · USA
CAZAUX
1.59
·
MCDONALD
2.47

Odds

Market
Cazaux
McDonald
Winner
1.59
2.47
Total
line 20.0
1.36
Over 20.0
2.7
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.46
Over 20.5
2.38
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
3.64
-5.0 games
1.23
+5 games
Handicap
games
2.8
-4.5 games
1.37
+4.5 games

Player analysis

A. Cazaux has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Cazaux has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 6.52Trend mixed

M. McDonald has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.3 to 29.4, with at least one match where M. McDonald was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS 3.96Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWLWL

3W 2L last 5

12 MarFearnley2-6 6-3 1-6W
3 JanLandaluce6-3 6-2W
4 NovNorrie7-6 6-7 2-6L
2 NovMannarino6-3 7-6W
29 OctFokina7-6 6-4L
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

13 MarKecmanovic6-4 7-6L
11 MarLandaluce3-6 6-2 7-5W
8 MarNorrie6-2 6-3L
6 MarArnaldi0-6 1-6W
4 MarSvajda4-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Cazaux
Stat
McDonald
65%
Win rate
56.8%
141–76
W–L
260–198

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces9
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults2