Odds
Player analysis
J. Choinski comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Choinski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Choinski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
M. Dodig shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 306. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.3 to 15.6, with at least one match where M. Dodig was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving M. Dodig vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 11 Apr | Huesler | 4-6 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Muller | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 31 Mar | Sakellaridis | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 26 Mar | Safiullin | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Pereira | 6-1 6-2 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 25 Mar | Kopp | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | W |
| 24 Mar | Langmo | 3-6 7-5 6-2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Travaglia | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Ajdukovic | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 18 Mar | Krumich | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | W |

