Odds
Player analysis
J. Choinski has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.5 to 17.2, with at least one match where J. Choinski was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. De Jong comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.5, meaning J. De Jong has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. De Jong has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Mar | Kjaer | 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 4 Mar | Safiullin | 6-4 5-7 5-7 | W |
| 3 Mar | Malige | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 22 Feb | Perricard | 4-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 21 Feb | Jong | 6-1 7-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 21 Feb | Choinski | 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rublev | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 11 Feb | Khachanov | 3-6 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 8 Feb | Nagal | 7-5 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Feb | Suresh | 6-4 7-5 | L |

