Odds
Player analysis
M. Giron comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.8 with a downward trend. M. Giron is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Giron vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Giron has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
M. Cilic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.2, meaning M. Cilic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Cilic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 1 May | Burruchaga | 6-3 2-6 7-6 | L |
| 30 Apr | Kovacevic | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | W |
| 28 Apr | Vukic | 4-6 6-1 1-6 | W |
| 23 Apr | Hanfmann | 6-4 6-7 7-5 | L |
| 19 Mar | Landaluce | 3-6 6-7 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Apr | Bergs | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 14 Apr | Altmaier | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 8 Apr | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 7 Apr | Shevchenko | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 23 Mar | Zverev | 2-6 7-5 4-6 | L |

