Odds
Player analysis
N. Budkov Kjaer comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.1, meaning N. Budkov Kjaer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Budkov Kjaer has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
M. Cilic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.7 to 17.9, with at least one match where M. Cilic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Cilic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 11 Apr | Trungelliti | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 4 Apr | Dzumhur | 7-6 7-5 | L |
| 30 Mar | Rocha | 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Ivashka | 1-6 7-5 6-7 | W |
| 11 Mar | Bertola | 5-7 1-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Apr | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 7 Apr | Shevchenko | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 23 Mar | Zverev | 2-6 7-5 4-6 | L |
| 22 Mar | Nakashima | 6-2 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 19 Mar | Popyrin | 6-4 6-4 | W |

