Odds
Player analysis
A. Fils shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 71. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.8 to 37.7, with at least one match where A. Fils was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+42) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
G. Diallo comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.4, meaning G. Diallo has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving G. Diallo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Mar | Lehecka | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 26 Mar | Paul | 7-6 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 24 Mar | Vacherot | 4-6 7-6 4-6 | W |
| 23 Mar | Tsitsipas | 6-0 6-1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Blanch | 6-2 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 1 Apr | Molcan | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Humbert | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Wu | 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |

