MadridClay23 Apr 2026 · 11:00
D. Vallejo
#96 · Paraguay
VS
G. Dimitrov
#137 · Bulgaria

Odds

Market
Vallejo
Dimitrov
Change
Winner
Total
line 19.5
1.25
Over 19.5
3.28
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.28
Over 20.0
3.12
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
1.74
-2.0 games
2
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.66
-2.5 games
2.11
+2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Vallejo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.6 to 26.3, with at least one match where D. Vallejo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving D. Vallejo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 9.95Trend mixed

G. Dimitrov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.9, meaning G. Dimitrov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving G. Dimitrov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Dimitrov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -6.86Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Vallejo
Stat
Dimitrov
58.2%
Win rate
60.3%
103–74
W–L
123–81

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults4