Odds
Player analysis
D. Vallejo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.6 to 26.3, with at least one match where D. Vallejo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving D. Vallejo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
G. Dimitrov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.9, meaning G. Dimitrov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving G. Dimitrov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Dimitrov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Apr | Rocha | 6-1 4-6 6-2 | W |
| 20 Apr | Martinez | 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 2 Apr | Paul | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 30 Mar | Svajda | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 20 Mar | Roncadelli | 3-6 4-6 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 7 Apr | Etcheverry | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | L |
| 19 Mar | Collignon | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Alcaraz | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 5 Mar | Atmane | 4-6 7-5 4-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Atmane | 6-3 6-3 | L |

