A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.1 to 17.1, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

D. Dzumhur has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning D. Dzumhur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Dzumhur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Dzumhur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -39 over recent matches.