Odds
Player analysis
J. Engel comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning J. Engel has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Engel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Engel has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
M. Echargui comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.1 to 34.1, with at least one match where M. Echargui was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Echargui vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Echargui has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 2 Mar | Zeppieri | 6-4 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 19 Feb | Bonzi | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Massard | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 10 Feb | Echargui | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 7 Feb | Bueno | 6-3 6-7 10-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 10 Mar | Andrade | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 9 Mar | Puello | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 3 Mar | Burruchaga | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 23 Feb | Perricard | 6-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 17 Feb | Tsitsipas | 4-6 4-6 | L |

