B. Ellis shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 508. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.5, meaning B. Ellis has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving B. Ellis vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

M. Kukushkin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.9, meaning M. Kukushkin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Kukushkin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Kukushkin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.