Odds
Player analysis
M. Giron has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.6 to 7.4, with at least one match where M. Giron was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Giron vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. Fearnley comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning J. Fearnley has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Fearnley vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fearnley has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 19 Mar | Landaluce | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 15 Mar | Quinn | 6-7 6-4 5-7 | L |
| 15 Mar | Moutet | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 14 Mar | Borges | 6-7 2-6 | W |
| 12 Mar | Friend | 5-7 6-4 6-7 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 12 Mar | Cazaux | 2-6 6-3 1-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Dzumhur | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Bouquier | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Chidekh | 6-3 2-6 6-2 | L |

