Odds
Player analysis
T. Griekspoor has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 13.6, with at least one match where T. Griekspoor was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
J. Fearnley comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning J. Fearnley has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Fearnley vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fearnley has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Apr | Monfils | 6-7 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 2 Apr | Assche | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | L |
| 27 Feb | Rublev | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Mensik | 3-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Bublik | 6-3 7-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 12 Mar | Cazaux | 2-6 6-3 1-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Dzumhur | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Bouquier | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Chidekh | 6-3 2-6 6-2 | L |

