RomeClayATP Final5 May 2026 · 13:00
A. Kovacevic
#95 · USA
VS
J. Fearnley
#123 · United Kingdom
KOVACEVIC
2.25
·
FEARNLEY
1.68

Odds

Market
Kovacevic
Fearnley
Change
Winner
2.25
1.68
Total
line 20.0
1.31
Over 20.0
2.92
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.41
Over 20.5
2.52
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.79
-2.0 games
1.89
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.72
-2.5 games
2.12
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.6 with a downward trend. A. Kovacevic is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kovacevic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 0.6Trend down

J. Fearnley comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning J. Fearnley has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Fearnley vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fearnley has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.

DS -1.28Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kovacevic
Stat
Fearnley
34.9%
Win rate
58.8%
15–28
W–L
10–7

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults5