Odds
Player analysis
A. Popyrin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.1 with a downward trend. A. Popyrin is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Popyrin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Popyrin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
J. Fearnley comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning J. Fearnley has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Fearnley vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fearnley has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 4 Apr | Tiafoe | 6-3 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 3 Apr | Michelsen | 0-6 6-4 1-6 | W |
| 1 Apr | Kypson | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 19 Mar | Cilic | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 5 Mar | Brooksby | 6-3 6-4 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 12 Mar | Cazaux | 2-6 6-3 1-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Dzumhur | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Bouquier | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Chidekh | 6-3 2-6 6-2 | L |

