Odds
Player analysis
A. Li has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 10.6, with at least one match where A. Li was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
L. Fernandez comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 2. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -14.4, meaning L. Fernandez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.7/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Apr | Parks | 2-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 17 Apr | Kostyuk | 6-0 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 15 Apr | Rakhimova | 6-4 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 13 Apr | Kasatkina | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Yastremska | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | L |

