MadridClay1/8-finals27 Apr 2026 · 11:10
A. Li
#34 · USA
VS
L. Fernandez
#1373 · Mexico
LI
2.48
·
FERNANDEZ
1.61

Odds

Market
Li
Fernandez
Winner
2.48
1.61
Total
line 17.5
1.17
Over 17.5
3.95
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.21
Over 18.0
3.58
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
2.09
-2.0 games
1.79
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.9
-2.5 games
1.8
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Li has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 10.6, with at least one match where A. Li was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS 0.11Trend up

L. Fernandez comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 2. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -14.4, meaning L. Fernandez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.7/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -14.38Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Li
Stat
Fernandez
62.5%
Win rate
%
55–33
W–L

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won20%
BP converted20%
BP saved80%
Aces3
Double faults5