SantosClaySemi-finals4 May 2026 · 18:35
B. Fernandez
#626 · Brazil
VS
H. Ortenblad Nogueira
#1572 · Brazil
FERNANDEZ
1.05
·
NOGUEIRA
13.14

Odds

Market
Fernandez
Nogueira
Winner
1.05
13.14
Total
line 17.0
1.69
Over 17.0
2.02
Under 17.0
Total
line 17.5
1.98
Over 17.5
1.85
Under 17.5
Handicap
games
1.93
-7.0 games
1.89
+7 games
Handicap
games
1.61
-6.5 games
2.16
+6.5 games

Player analysis

B. Fernandez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.1 to 16.5, with at least one match where B. Fernandez was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving B. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Fernandez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS 0.69Trend mixed

H. Ortenblad Nogueira comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 2. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -18.1, meaning H. Ortenblad Nogueira has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving H. Ortenblad Nogueira vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS -18.06Trend stable

Recent form

LLW

1W 2L last 5

22 MarPereira6-3 6-2L
28 NovLoraL
26 NovPintoW

Clay court stats

Fernandez
Stat
Nogueira
40%
Win rate
50%
26–39
W–L
2–2

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted80%
BP saved40%
Aces0
Double faults4