Odds
Player analysis
J. Ponchet comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.7, meaning J. Ponchet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ponchet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Ponchet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
F. Ferro arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving F. Ferro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 14 Apr | Baptiste | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 8 Apr | Kudermetova | 1-6 2-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Brancaccio | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Siskova | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 12 Jan | Zidansek | 7-6 6-3 | L |
5W 0L last 5
| 26 Apr | Kudermetova | 3-6 6-0 1-6 | W |
| 25 Apr | Klimovicova | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 24 Apr | Pridankina | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 23 Apr | Havlickova | 2-6 6-0 3-6 | W |
| 21 Apr | Andreescu | 6-0 2-6 6-4 | W |

