Saint MaloClay1/16-finals28 Apr 2026 · 10:00
J. Ponchet
#196 · France
VS
F. Ferro
#246 · France

Odds

Market
Ponchet
Ferro
Change
Winner
Total
line 17.5
1.34
Over 17.5
2.87
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.5
1.54
Over 18.5
2.25
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
2.58
-3.5 games
1.42
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
2.34
-4.0 games
1.5
+4 games

Player analysis

J. Ponchet comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.7, meaning J. Ponchet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ponchet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Ponchet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS -4.72Trend mixed

F. Ferro arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving F. Ferro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 7.39Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Ponchet
Stat
Ferro
49.4%
Win rate
52.7%
40–41
W–L
97–87

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults3