MadridClay1/16-finals27 Apr 2026 · 11:10
A. Davidovich Fokina
#24 · Spain
VS
C. Ruud
#15 · Norway
FOKINA
2.71
·
RUUD
1.515

Odds

Market
Fokina
Ruud
Winner
2.71
1.515
Total
line 23.5
2.09
Over 23.5
1.66
Under 23.5
Total
line 22.5
2
Over 22.5
1.877
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.96
+2.5 games
1.81
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.69
+3.5 games
2.05
-3.5 games

Player analysis

A. Davidovich Fokina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning A. Davidovich Fokina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS -1.02Trend mixed

C. Ruud shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 48. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.7 to 35.6, with at least one match where C. Ruud was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 14.67Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Fokina
Stat
Ruud
58.2%
Win rate
68.5%
106–76
W–L
224–103

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

13
Clay 02
Hard 11
A. Davidovich Fokina vs C. Ruud head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClayATP 1/16-finalsRuud3-6 1-6
ATP French OpenClay1/32-finalsRuud6-7 6-1 3-6 6-4 3-6
ATP MiamiHard1/16-finalsRuud6-3 6-4
ATP TorontoHard1/8-finalsFokina7-6 4-6 7-6