Odds
Player analysis
A. Rinderknech comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.3, meaning A. Rinderknech has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Rinderknech vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
A. Davidovich Fokina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning A. Davidovich Fokina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Apr | Khachanov | 7-5 6-2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Atmane | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 10 Mar | Alcaraz | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Rublev | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Draper | 7-5 6-7 6-4 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 21 Mar | Halys | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 10 Mar | Tien | 4-6 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Mensik | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | W |
| 7 Mar | Svajda | 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 26 Feb | Bellucci | 6-3 6-3 | L |

