C. Gauff has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 20.8, with at least one match where C. Gauff was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.2, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.