C. Gauff shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 31. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.3, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kalinskaya has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.