Kigali 2ClayQuarter-finals13 Mar 2026 · 11:20
S. Napolitano
#243 · Italy
VS
A. Gea
#139 · France
NAPOLITANO
2.43
·
GEA
1.61

Odds

Market
Napolitano
Gea
Winner
2.43
1.61
Total
line 20.5
1.4
Over 20.5
2.62
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.65
Over 21.0
2.28
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.94
-2.0 games
1.75
+2 games
Handicap
games
2
-2.5 games
1.86
+2.5 games

Player analysis

S. Napolitano shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 193. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +8.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 7.95Trend up

A. Gea comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.2, meaning A. Gea has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Gea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Gea has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS -5.25Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Napolitano
Stat
Gea
53.4%
Win rate
50%
151–132
W–L
57–57

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Clay 10
S. Napolitano vs A. Gea head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
KigaliClaySemi-finalsNapolitano7-6 5-7 6-3