Odds
Player analysis
S. Napolitano has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.1 with a downward trend. S. Napolitano is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
A. Gea has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.3 to 11.9, with at least one match where A. Gea was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Gea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Gea has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 12 Mar | Neuchrist | 6-3 6-7 6-1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Schwaerzler | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 8 Mar | Schwaerzler | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Gea | 7-6 5-7 6-3 | W |
| 5 Mar | Pavlovic | 4-6 3-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 10 Mar | Bouchelaghem | 6-2 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Napolitano | 7-6 5-7 6-3 | L |
| 5 Mar | Hemery | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 4 Mar | Jianu | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 3 Mar | Valle | 3-6 6-7 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kigali | Clay | Semi-finals | Napolitano | 7-6 5-7 6-3 |