Odds
Player analysis
T. Gentzsch has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.1 to 36.4, with at least one match where T. Gentzsch was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving T. Gentzsch vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
F. Romano comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning F. Romano has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving F. Romano vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Romano has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Mar | Forejtek | 7-5 6-1 | W |
| 12 Mar | Nesterov | 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 10 Mar | Berrettini | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 23 Feb | Skatov | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 13 Feb | Aguilar | 1-6 4-6 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 24 Mar | Oetzbach | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 23 Mar | Vela | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Bilozertsev | 6-0 6-3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Kotov | 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 14 Mar | Rodionov | 6-7 6-2 4-6 | W |

