Odds
Player analysis
T. Skatov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.3 to 10.4, with at least one match where T. Skatov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Skatov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Skatov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
A. Ghibaudo shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 317. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -35.6 to 12.6, with at least one match where A. Ghibaudo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Ghibaudo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Apr | Ostapenkov | 6-7 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 22 Apr | Gulin | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | W |
| 21 Apr | Prihodko | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 14 Apr | Assche | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 Apr | Gaston | 6-7 6-7 | L |

