Odds
Player analysis
T. Gibson comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning T. Gibson has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Gibson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Gibson has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
A. Li has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 10.6, with at least one match where A. Li was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Apr | Arango | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 10 Apr | Stojsavljevic | 6-7 5-7 | L |
| 24 Mar | Rybakina | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Jovic | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Osaka | 7-5 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Apr | Parks | 2-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 17 Apr | Kostyuk | 6-0 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 15 Apr | Rakhimova | 6-4 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 13 Apr | Kasatkina | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Yastremska | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | L |

