A. Martinez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.9 to 25.5, with at least one match where A. Martinez was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Martinez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Martinez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

A. Guerrieri shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 201. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Guerrieri vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.