A. Kalinina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 138. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Kalinina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

A. Ibragimova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.6 with a downward trend. A. Ibragimova is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving A. Ibragimova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.