K. Majchrzak has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning K. Majchrzak has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving K. Majchrzak vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

N. Jarry comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.6 to 23.7, with at least one match where N. Jarry was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Jarry vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Jarry has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.