Odds
Player analysis
M. Lajal has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.9 to 24.5, with at least one match where M. Lajal was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Lajal vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Lajal has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
M. Jones comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.8, meaning M. Jones has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Jones vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Jones has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Feb | Herbert | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 24 Feb | Berrettini | 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 7 Feb | Dippenaar | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 28 Jan | Kotov | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Jan | Kukushkin | 6-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 16 Apr | Shin | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 15 Apr | Jasika | 4-6 7-5 2-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Sekulic | 2-6 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 2 Apr | Ellis | 6-4 1-6 6-2 | L |
| 31 Mar | Sun | 6-2 6-1 | W |

