MiamiHard1/32-finals20 Mar 2026 · 21:30
E. Kalieva
#140 · USA
VS
E. Mertens
#20 · Belgium
KALIEVA
5.67
·
MERTENS
1.17

Odds

Market
Kalieva
Mertens
Winner
5.67
1.17
Total
line 16.5
1.22
Over 16.5
3.5
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.28
Over 17.0
3.14
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
3.14
-2.0 games
1.32
+2 games
Handicap
games
3.72
-2.5 games
1.24
+2.5 games

Player analysis

E. Kalieva comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning E. Kalieva has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving E. Kalieva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Kalieva has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.

DS -5.36Trend mixed

E. Mertens comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 6.63Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Kalieva
Stat
Mertens
49.1%
Win rate
62%
80–83
W–L
253–155

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

01
Hard 01
E. Kalieva vs E. Mertens head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
TampicoHard1/16-finalsMertens6-2 7-5