MadridClaySemi-finals5 Apr 2026 · 16:55
A. Nedic
#290 · Bosnia and Herzegovina
VS
M. Karol
#411 · Slovakia
NEDIC
1.575
·
KAROL
2.43

Odds

Market
Nedic
Karol
Winner
1.575
2.43
Total
line 22.5
1.98
Over 22.5
1.73
Under 22.5
Total
line 22.0
1.89
Over 22.0
1.79
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
1.95
-3.5 games
1.75
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.76
-2.5 games
1.94
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Nedic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.6 to 22.8, with at least one match where A. Nedic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Nedic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.65Trend mixed

M. Karol comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning M. Karol has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Karol vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Karol has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.

DS -4.2Trend mixed

Recent form

LLWWW

3W 2L last 5

29 MarMazza5-7 3-6L
22 MarOetzbach6-3 3-6 6-7L
13 MarSchoenW
12 MarLaaroussiW
11 MarVerwerftW

Clay court stats

Nedic
Stat
Karol
69.8%
Win rate
45.8%
125–54
W–L
54–64

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces10
Double faults5